MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 02:12:54| >> :600:274404:274404:
Champions League header

Champions League
Juventus logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Benfica

Juventus
1 - 2
Benfica

Milik (4')
Miretti (42'), Perin (45'), Danilo (59'), Paredes (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mario (43' pen.), Neres (55')
Bah (26'), Mario (45'), Luis (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Juventus and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Salernitana
Sunday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Benfica

Last Six:
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Juventus 1-1 Benfica

 Another turgid display from Juventus at the weekend suggests that any improvement will have to wait until their top talents return to the squad, so they will do well to grind out a draw against the high-flying Eagles. The hosts are unlikely to take the game to their visitors either, and may have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawBenfica
31.26% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 24.5% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 44.24% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.02% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (-0.152 -0.15)44.68% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)67.05% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.111 -0.11)27.19% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.146 -0.15)62.6% (0.144 0.14)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)20.31% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)52.69% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 31.26%
    Benfica 44.24%
    Draw 24.5%
JuventusDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.26%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.24%

How you voted: Juventus vs Benfica

Juventus
43.9%
Draw
19.3%
Benfica
36.7%
471
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2018 6pm
Benfica
1-1
Juventus
 Juventus win 4-2 on penalties
Grimaldo (66')
Parks (82')
Clemenza (84')
May 1, 2014 8.05pm
Juventus
0-0
Benfica

Asamoah (64')
Vucinic (90')

Salvio (0'), Rodrigo (56')
Perez (67'), Markovic (90')
> Match Report
Apr 24, 2014 8.05pm
Benfica
2-1
Juventus
Garay (2'), Lima (83')
Gomes (45'), Artur (71')
Tevez (73')
Pogba (44')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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