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The Match

Team News

Chelsea forward Romelu Lukaku drops to the substitutes' bench for Tuesday's Champions League fixture against Lille at Stamford Bridge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Chelsea and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 first leg with Lille.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League last-16 first leg with Lille.

We said: Chelsea 2-0 Lille

There is always a danger of Lille breaching the opposition defence when David and Yilmaz are on song, but Les Dogues' form since the turn of the year makes it extremely difficult to envisage any shocks in the English capital. Chelsea have been far from inspiring despite their strong run of results, but a freshened-up team will expect to run out convincing winners and take a healthy first-leg advantage to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lille had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result
ChelseaDrawLille
47.19%28.49%24.32%
Both teams to score 41.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.49%63.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17%82.83%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86%27.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47%62.53%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24%42.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92%79.08%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 47.18%
    Lille 24.32%
    Draw 28.48%
ChelseaDrawLille
1-0 @ 15.13%
2-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.39%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 47.18%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Lille

Chelsea
Draw
Lille
Chelsea
78.8%
Draw
11.9%
Lille
9.3%
386
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2019 8pm
Oct 2, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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