Lille1 - 5PSG
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We said: Lille 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain
PSG have certainly mastered the art of winning ugly, but another wave of important players absent will make it difficult for Les Parisiens to stamp their authority on the fortress that is the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Pochettino's side ought to feel confident about their prospects of keeping Les Dogues at bay if David needs more time to recover from his international exploits, and we can see Lille's home resistance being broken by the runaway leaders, but not without a fight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lille had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Lille win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 23.17% | 23.2% | 53.62% |
| Both teams to score 55.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% | 44.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.82% | 67.18% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.02% | 69.97% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% | 16.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.48% | 46.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 6% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.17% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.62% |
How you voted: Lille vs PSG
