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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
54.7% ( -1.03) | 21.69% ( 0.28) | 23.61% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.65% ( -0.46) | 37.35% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.43% ( -0.49) | 59.57% ( 0.49) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( -0.47) | 13.69% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.08% ( -0.94) | 40.92% ( 0.93) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( 0.36) | 28.87% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( 0.45) | 64.73% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |