Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 92.68%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 1.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.04%) and 2-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.6%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 0-1 (0.69%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.