Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce2 - 1Lazio
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Lecce 0-2 Lazio
As Lazio are a well-drilled side and seem to be on the up under Maurizio Sarri, they can rightly aim to sustain last season's progress. Starting with a tough trip down south on matchday one, the Biancocelesti should safely overcome Lecce, as the home side have surely been weakened by their dealings during the summer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
39.47% ( -0.57) | 28.08% ( 0.13) | 32.44% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% ( -0.36) | 58.9% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% ( -0.28) | 79.39% ( 0.29) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.5) | 29.09% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.99% ( -0.63) | 65.01% ( 0.63) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( 0.13) | 33.56% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.8% ( 0.14) | 70.2% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 39.47%
Lazio 32.44%
Draw 28.08%
| Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.63% Total : 39.47% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.44% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Lazio
Lecce
10.4%Draw
10.4%Lazio
79.2%48
