Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.