Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 24.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Carlisle United |
52.44% ( 2.16) | 23.47% ( -0.39) | 24.09% ( -1.77) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( 0.13) | 45.03% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( 0.13) | 67.38% ( -0.13) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% ( 0.86) | 17.16% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.59% ( 1.49) | 47.41% ( -1.5) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.33% ( -1.38) | 32.67% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.78% ( -1.58) | 69.22% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |