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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Salford City win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw has a probability of 18.8% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (4.18%).
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
69.34% ( 0.09) | 18.79% ( -0.04) | 11.87% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% ( 0.07) | 44.81% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0.07) | 67.17% ( -0.07) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.21% ( 0.04) | 11.78% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.02% ( 0.09) | 36.98% ( -0.09) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.87% ( -0.03) | 47.13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.41% ( -0.02) | 82.58% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Newport County |
2-0 @ 12.69% 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 69.32% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 18.79% | 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |