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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

Glatzel (86'), Smith (90'), Tshimanga (90+4' pen.)
Smith (22'), Clarke (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davison (7')
Norman (19'), Drysdale (22'), Davison (54')
Norman (62'), Drysdale (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Swindon
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere Rovers

Swindon have been enjoying a good run of form, especially in front of their fans, and with their dominant showing coupled with their attacking threat, they are primed for a win on Tuesday. Given the attacking prowess of the Robins, coupled with the defensive frailties of the visitors, we back the home side to claim a 3-1 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
50.84% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-0.105 -0.1)48.15% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.096 -0.1)70.31% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)18.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)50.47% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)33.75% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.064 -0.06)70.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.83%
    Tranmere Rovers 24.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
Draw
Tranmere Rovers
Swindon Town
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Tranmere Rovers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Tranmere
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (17')
Merrie (54' og.)
King (24'), Cain (90+3')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-1
Tranmere
McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley371313114845352
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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