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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

Glatzel (86'), Smith (90'), Tshimanga (90+4' pen.)
Smith (22'), Clarke (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davison (7')
Norman (19'), Drysdale (22'), Davison (54')
Norman (62'), Drysdale (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Swindon
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 3-1 Tranmere Rovers

 Swindon have been enjoying a good run of form, especially in front of their fans, and with their dominant showing coupled with their attacking threat, they are primed for a win on Tuesday. Given the attacking prowess of the Robins, coupled with the defensive frailties of the visitors, we back the home side to claim a 3-1 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
50.84% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-0.105 -0.1)48.15% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.096 -0.1)70.31% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)18.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)50.47% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)33.75% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.064 -0.06)70.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.83%
    Tranmere Rovers 24.82%
    Draw 24.34%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.82%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Tranmere Rovers
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Tranmere
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (17')
Merrie (54' og.)
King (24'), Cain (90+3')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swindon
3-1
Tranmere
McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Tranmere
1-0
Swindon
Saunders (22')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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