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Champions League header

Champions League
Red Star Belgrade
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Leipzig logo

Red Star
1 - 2
RB Leipzig

Henrichs (81' og.)
Mijailovic (6'), Krasso (28'), Ivanic (52'), Lucic (73'), Olayinka (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Simons (8'), Openda (77')
Simakan (49'), Lukeba (56'), Henrichs (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

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Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-2 RB Leipzig

 Leipzig ought to have learned their lesson about risky plays out from the back following their meeting with Red Star a fortnight ago, and their recent failures domestically should offer the hosts quite the injection of confidence. Quelling Rose's effervescent young attackers is another matter entirely for the Serbian champions, though, and we have faith in Leipzig to rectify their recent defeats and advance to the knockout stages by virtue of a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
39.8% (1.445 1.45) 22.65% (-0.553 -0.55) 37.54% (-0.894 -0.89)
Both teams to score 66.71% (2.149 2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (2.797 2.8)34.07% (-2.798 -2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (3.097 3.1)55.94% (-3.1 -3.1)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (1.844 1.84)17.82% (-1.846 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (3.088 3.09)48.56% (-3.089 -3.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.81 0.81)18.82% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (1.338 1.34)50.25% (-1.34 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 39.8%
    RB Leipzig 37.54%
    Draw 22.65%
Red Star BelgradeDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.494 -0.49)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.285 0.29)
3-2 @ 4% (0.332 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.234 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.234 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.111 0.11)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.558 -0.56)
2-2 @ 6.96% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.507 -0.51)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.237 0.24)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.438 -0.44)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.123 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Red Star vs RB Leipzig

Red Star Belgrade
18.8%
Draw
15.2%
RB Leipzig
66.1%
112
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
3-1
Red Star
Raum (12'), Simons (59'), Olmo (84')
Henrichs (28')
Stamenic (70')
Stamenic (34'), Rodic (45+3'), In-beom (46'), Djiga (71')
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