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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Koln logo

RB Leipzig
6 - 0
FC Koln

Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

Koln's maiden victory last weekend has given them a timely boost heading into a tricky encounter with Leipzig, but the Billy Goats will be regarded as the underdogs on Saturday. Die Roten Bullen have been frustrated by Koln in recent meetings, but we believe that their in-form attackers will fire them to a comfortable victory this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
56% (0.254 0.25) 21.64% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.36% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)38.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.94% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.088000000000008 0.09)13.72% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.02% (0.174 0.17)40.98% (-0.17 -0.17)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)30.64% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (-0.18 -0.18)66.88% (0.184 0.18)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 56%
    FC Koln 22.36%
    Draw 21.64%
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs FC Koln

RB Leipzig
98.5%
Draw
1.5%
FC Koln
0.0%
67
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
Apr 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
FC Koln
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hector (46', 60')
Ehizibue (23'), Czichos (90+6')
Haidara (59')
Upamecano (56'), Kampl (83'), Haidara (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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