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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Koln logo

RB Leipzig
6 - 0
FC Koln

Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

 Koln's maiden victory last weekend has given them a timely boost heading into a tricky encounter with Leipzig, but the Billy Goats will be regarded as the underdogs on Saturday. Die Roten Bullen have been frustrated by Koln in recent meetings, but we believe that their in-form attackers will fire them to a comfortable victory this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
56% (0.254 0.25) 21.64% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.36% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)38.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.94% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.088000000000008 0.09)13.72% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.02% (0.174 0.17)40.98% (-0.17 -0.17)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)30.64% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.11% (-0.18 -0.18)66.88% (0.184 0.18)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 56%
    FC Koln 22.36%
    Draw 21.64%
RB LeipzigDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs FC Koln

RB Leipzig
98.5%
Draw
1.5%
FC Koln
0.0%
67
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
FC Koln
0-0
RB Leipzig
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
FC Koln
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hector (46', 60')
Ehizibue (23'), Czichos (90+6')
Haidara (59')
Upamecano (56'), Kampl (83'), Haidara (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen20136149272245
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20115445271838
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Wolfsburg208574335829
11Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim2046102640-1418
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710
> Bundesliga Full Table


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