RB Leipzig

3 - 1

Red Star

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.