RB Leipzig3 - 1Red Star
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star Belgrade
Leipzig will know the importance of collecting all three points in this match, as it would likely put them in an incredibly strong position to progress from Group G. Red Star will be no pushovers, though, having shown plenty of resolve in their first two matches. While we can see them threatening the hosts on occasions, Rose's side should have too much quality in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
44.49% ( 0.03) | 23.19% ( -0.01) | 32.32% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.26% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
