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SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Leipzig logo

SV Darmstadt 98
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Kempe (32' pen.)
Holland (47'), Klarer (49'), Nurnberger (60'), Skarke (67'), Maglica (68'), Muller (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Openda (1', 72'), Forsberg (24')
Raum (63'), Openda (68'), Kampl (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-2 RB Leipzig

Darmstadt would have taken confidence from picking up consecutive victories, but we think that they will come undone against a Leipzig side that have won their last two Bundesliga away matches without conceding a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawRB Leipzig
26.61% (0.139 0.14) 22.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 50.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 61.11% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.181 0.18)39.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.191 0.19)61.49% (-0.191 -0.19)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.19500000000001 0.2)27.55% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (0.252 0.25)63.07% (-0.253 -0.25)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.022000000000006 0.02)15.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 26.61%
    RB Leipzig 50.7%
    Draw 22.68%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.61%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.74%
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 50.7%

How you voted: SV Darmstadt 98 vs RB Leipzig

SV Darmstadt 98
12.0%
Draw
10.0%
RB Leipzig
78.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
SV Darmstadt 98
Keita (13', 81'), Forsberg (67'), Orban (79')
Burke (42')

Schipplock (57'), Sirigu (62'), Kamavuaka (83')
Sirigu (72')
Oct 29, 2016 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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