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Sevilla logo
Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Dortmund logo

Sevilla
2 - 3
Dortmund

Suso (7'), de Jong (84')
Oscar (88'), Lopetegui (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dahoud (19'), Braut Haaland (27', 43')
Hummels (73'), Braut Haaland (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 1-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
51.92%21.42%26.65%
Both teams to score 65.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.02%32.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.3%54.69%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95%13.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38%39.62%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36%58.63%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 51.92%
    Borussia Dortmund 26.65%
    Draw 21.42%
SevillaDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 6.57%
1-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 6.31%
3-2 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 4.46%
4-1 @ 3.21%
4-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.27%
5-1 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.07%
5-2 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 51.92%
1-1 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 3.17%
3-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.1%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.65%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Dortmund

Sevilla
66.2%
Draw
13.2%
Borussia Dortmund
20.6%
666
rhs 2.0
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
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