Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla1 - 4Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Atletico
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
Given the amount of players that Dortmund are likely to have unavailable for this fixture - and the importance of Der Klassiker at the weekend - we can envisage the visitors being extremely content to leave Seville with a point on Wednesday. Sevilla have started the season in terrible form and may not be massively disappointed with avoiding defeat either, so we can envisage a share of the spoils in midweek. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
43.09% ( -0.17) | 23.46% ( -0) | 33.45% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
