Shkupi

3 - 0

Lincoln

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkupi would win this match.