Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.