Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2021 at 6pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
Spartak Moscow0 - 2Benfica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Benfica |
| 28.27% | 23.26% | 48.47% |
| Both teams to score 60.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% | 40.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% | 62.96% |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% | 27.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% | 16.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.92% | 47.07% |
| Score Analysis |
Spartak Moscow 28.27%
Benfica 48.47%
Draw 23.25%
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% 1-0 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.65% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.47% |
How you voted: Spartak Moscow vs Benfica
Spartak Moscow
21.0%Draw
17.3%Benfica
61.7%214
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2012 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2012 5pm
Form Guide
