We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Girona
Considering Sturm Graz will still be adjusting to life without Ilzer, it would not be surprising if they struggled on Wednesday without the guidance of a permanent manager.
Additionally, Girona are in good goalscoring form, and they could create several opportunities in the final third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.