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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
0 - 2
Hacken


Williams (18'), Davies (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sadiq (19'), Sonko (90+1')
Sadiq (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between The New Saints and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Hacken 3-1 New Saints
Wednesday, July 12 at 6pm in Champions League

Hacken

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Hacken 4-2 Brommapojkarna
Saturday, July 15 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: The New Saints 1-2 Hacken

 New Saints are regularly found out at this level of European football, and although we expect them to keep things close in this second leg, the visitors should have too much quality for them in the end. Hacken are flying high towards the top of their domestic table once again having recently lifted the Swedish Cup, and they will have their sights firmly set on reaching the group stage of this competition for the first time in their history. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawHacken
47.83% (0.136 0.14) 22.42% (-0.029 -0.03) 29.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 64.67% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.092000000000013 0.09)35.57% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.102 0.1)57.62% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (0.084000000000003 0.08)15.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.94% (0.154 0.15)44.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.72% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 47.83%
    Hacken 29.75%
    Draw 22.42%
The New SaintsDrawHacken
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.83%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.75%

How you voted: New Saints vs Hacken

The New Saints
16.2%
Draw
16.2%
Hacken
67.6%
37
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 6pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Hacken
3-1
New Saints
Sadiq (7'), Rygaard Jensen (13'), Hovland (36')
McManus (32')
Smith (36'), Redmond (85'), Roberts (90+3')
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