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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Preston

Stansfield (68')
Laird (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keane (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

With relegation becoming more of a possibility as the season progresses, Birmingham need a positive result to halt a worrying slide since the loss of Mowbray. Preston are aiming to string a couple of wins together in order to keep pace with the top six, but we feel that the Lilywhites will have to settle for a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.42% (-0.717 -0.72) 27.36% (0.34 0.34) 35.22% (0.385 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-1.024 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-1.304 -1.3)55.83% (1.311 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-1.073 -1.07)76.95% (1.08 1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-1.044 -1.04)28.8% (1.051 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-1.321 -1.32)64.65% (1.329 1.33)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)30.14% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (-0.488 -0.49)66.29% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.41%
    Preston North End 35.22%
    Draw 27.35%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
23.9%
Draw
20.9%
Preston North End
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Preston
2-1
Birmingham
Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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