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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Preston

Stansfield (68')
Laird (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keane (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-1 Birmingham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Rotherham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

With relegation becoming more of a possibility as the season progresses, Birmingham need a positive result to halt a worrying slide since the loss of Mowbray. Preston are aiming to string a couple of wins together in order to keep pace with the top six, but we feel that the Lilywhites will have to settle for a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.42% (-0.717 -0.72) 27.36% (0.34 0.34) 35.22% (0.385 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-1.024 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-1.304 -1.3)55.83% (1.311 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-1.073 -1.07)76.95% (1.08 1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-1.044 -1.04)28.8% (1.051 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-1.321 -1.32)64.65% (1.329 1.33)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)30.14% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.71% (-0.488 -0.49)66.29% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.41%
    Preston North End 35.22%
    Draw 27.35%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Preston

Birmingham City
23.9%
Draw
20.9%
Preston North End
55.2%
67
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Preston
2-1
Birmingham
Bielik (51' og.), Osmajic (67')
Whatmough (48'), Osmajic (68')
Stansfield (46')
Bacuna (72')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
1-2
Preston
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Preston
0-1
Birmingham

Evans (83')
Colin (16')
Roberts (65'), Hogan (69'), James (90+5')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Preston
1-1
Birmingham
Bauer (31')
Whiteman (72')
Hogan (86')
Mengi (56')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
0-0
Preston
Bela (45+1')
Bauer (39'), Storey (62'), Ledson (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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