MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 18:51:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Burnley logo

Blackburn
0 - 1
Burnley


Batth (31'), Hyam (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (60')
Laurent (41'), Cullen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Stoke
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Burnley

Burnley have proven to be a tough team to beat, having avoided defeat in each of their last 12 Championship matches. We think that they will continue that run by claiming a narrow victory in Saturday's derby, especially as they have won each of their last four away matches against Rovers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
33.08% (-0.675 -0.68) 27.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 39.27% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)57.19% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.119 -0.12)78.04% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.529 -0.53)32.24% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.603 -0.6)68.73% (0.599 0.6)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.31100000000001 0.31)28.38% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.39 0.39)64.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 33.07%
    Burnley 39.27%
    Draw 27.64%
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Burnley

Blackburn Rovers
31.0%
Draw
15.5%
Burnley
53.5%
71
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Burnley
1-1
Blackburn
Foster (10')
Mejbri (42'), Foster (77'), Pears (90+5')
Weimann (23')
Gueye (31'), Travis (34'), Brittain (49'), Carter (53'), Hedges (66'), Koleosho (67'), Egan Riley (90+6')
Gueye (57')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
3-0
Blackburn
Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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