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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
45.57% ( 1.06) | 25.22% ( 0.2) | 29.21% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 54.47% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( -1.48) | 48.82% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% ( -1.36) | 70.92% ( 1.36) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( -0.14) | 21.43% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% ( -0.22) | 54.45% ( 0.22) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( -1.63) | 30.67% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% ( -1.97) | 66.91% ( 1.97) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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