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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 25.07% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
49.92% ( 0.99) | 25.01% ( -0.23) | 25.07% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( 0.33) | 50.7% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( 0.29) | 72.6% ( -0.29) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( 0.55) | 20.32% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.29% ( 0.87) | 52.7% ( -0.87) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% ( -0.47) | 34.91% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% ( -0.5) | 71.65% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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