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Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol City

Norwich
3 - 2
Bristol City

Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol City

As the joint top goalscorers in the division, it would be naive to write off Bristol City ahead of arguably the most daunting trip in the division. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Canaries, who are playing with confidence at each end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
55.1% (0.61 0.61) 22.68% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 22.22% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-1.095 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-1.037 -1.04)43.56% (1.041 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-1.026 -1.03)65.95% (1.028 1.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)15.7% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.291 -0.29)44.76% (0.293 0.29)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.172 -1.17)33.5% (1.176 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (-1.305 -1.31)70.14% (1.308 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 55.1%
    Bristol City 22.22%
    Draw 22.67%
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.1%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.236 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City

Norwich City
80.2%
Draw
10.5%
Bristol City
9.3%
86
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 12.30pm
Bristol City
1-3
Norwich
Hunt (15')
Pukki (6', 14'), Buendia (45+1')
Sorensen (60'), Gibson (66'), Krul (73'), Rupp (77')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
McLean (36', 66'), Godfrey (55')
Trybull (70')
Paterson (12'), O'Dowda (37')
Kalas (38'), Watkins (95'), Palmer (96')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Bristol City
2-2
Norwich
Diedhiou (45'), O'Dowda (53')
Watkins (83')
Stiepermann (39'), Aarons (78')
Tettey (41'), Buendia (71'), Godfrey (82')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich

Baker (64')
Maddison (79')
Maddison (25'), Lewis (42'), Tettey (57'), Oliveira (83'), Pinto (97')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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