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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield United | 9 | 12 | 20 |
2 | Norwich City | 8 | 6 | 16 |
3 | Blackburn Rovers | 9 | 0 | 15 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Burnley | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Bristol City | 8 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Watford | 9 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
55.1% ( 0.61) | 22.68% ( 0.06) | 22.22% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( -1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.44% ( -1.04) | 43.56% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.05% ( -1.03) | 65.95% ( 1.03) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( -0.16) | 15.7% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( -0.29) | 44.76% ( 0.29) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% ( -1.17) | 33.5% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.86% ( -1.31) | 70.14% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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