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Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol City

Norwich
3 - 2
Bristol City

Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol City

As the joint top goalscorers in the division, it would be naive to write off Bristol City ahead of arguably the most daunting trip in the division. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Canaries, who are playing with confidence at each end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
55.1% (0.61 0.61) 22.68% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 22.22% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-1.095 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-1.037 -1.04)43.56% (1.041 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-1.026 -1.03)65.95% (1.028 1.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)15.7% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.291 -0.29)44.76% (0.293 0.29)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.172 -1.17)33.5% (1.176 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (-1.305 -1.31)70.14% (1.308 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 55.1%
    Bristol City 22.22%
    Draw 22.67%
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.1%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.236 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City

Norwich City
80.2%
Draw
10.5%
Bristol City
9.3%
86
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 12.30pm
Bristol City
1-3
Norwich
Hunt (15')
Pukki (6', 14'), Buendia (45+1')
Sorensen (60'), Gibson (66'), Krul (73'), Rupp (77')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
McLean (36', 66'), Godfrey (55')
Trybull (70')
Paterson (12'), O'Dowda (37')
Kalas (38'), Watkins (95'), Palmer (96')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Bristol City
2-2
Norwich
Diedhiou (45'), O'Dowda (53')
Watkins (83')
Stiepermann (39'), Aarons (78')
Tettey (41'), Buendia (71'), Godfrey (82')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich

Baker (64')
Maddison (79')
Maddison (25'), Lewis (42'), Tettey (57'), Oliveira (83'), Pinto (97')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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