Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Norwich3 - 2Bristol City
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Norwich 3-0 Coventry
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield United | 9 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Norwich City | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Blackburn Rovers | 9 | 0 | 15 |
Last Game: Blackburn 2-3 Bristol City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Burnley | 9 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Watford | 9 | 0 | 13 |
We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol City
As the joint top goalscorers in the division, it would be naive to write off Bristol City ahead of arguably the most daunting trip in the division. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Canaries, who are playing with confidence at each end of the pitch. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
55.1% ( 0.61) | 22.68% ( 0.06) | 22.22% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( -1.04) | 43.56% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( -1.03) | 65.95% ( 1.03) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.16) | 15.7% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.24% ( -0.29) | 44.76% ( 0.29) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( -1.17) | 33.5% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.86% ( -1.31) | 70.14% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Norwich City 55.1%
Bristol City 22.22%
Draw 22.67%
| Norwich City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.22% |
How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City
Norwich City
80.2%Draw
10.5%Bristol City
9.3%86
Form Guide
