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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Millwall


Rinomhota (38'), Allsop (62'), Kipre (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (26')
Bradshaw (20'), Cooper (28'), Styles (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 5-2 Cardiff
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Millwall

Cardiff are in danger of slipping into the relegation zone in the Championship while they scramble to appoint a new manager, with the Welsh side needing to find a way to earn three points on Saturday. Millwall have faltered on the road this season so will be not expecting to breeze past a struggling Cardiff side, meaning a share of the spoils is likely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
43.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 27.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)60.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.43%
    Millwall 29.43%
    Draw 27.13%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Millwall
30.8%
52
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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