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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Bristol City

Hull City
1 - 1
Bristol City

Tufan (17')
Greaves (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wells (62')
Wells (65'), Gardner-Hickman (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Hull City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City

This should be a competitive encounter with both teams recognising that these are the kind of games that they need to be winning if they want to challenge for promotion. Nevertheless, we are backing a low-scoring draw, one which the visitors would be more accepting of after defeat last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBristol City
39.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 28.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 31.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.105 -0.1)59.44% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)79.81% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)29.07% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)64.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.28% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.1 -0.1)70.98% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 39.96%
    Bristol City 31.83%
    Draw 28.2%
Hull CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.83%

How you voted: Hull City vs Bristol City

Hull City
53.3%
Draw
28.3%
Bristol City
18.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol City
1-0
Hull City
Wells (70' pen.)
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hull City
2-1
Bristol City
Tufan (72' pen.), Michael Seri (90+3')
Weimann (30')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
5-0
Hull City
Weimann (5', 82'), Semenyo (33'), Martin (35', 54')
Scott (23')

Smallwood (88'), Jones (90')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Hull City
2-2
Bristol City
Longman (3'), Honeyman (79')
Smallwood (84')
Semenyo (54'), James (90+2')
Kalas (59'), Massengo (65')
Jul 8, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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