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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Bristol City

Hull City
1 - 1
Bristol City

Tufan (17')
Greaves (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wells (62')
Wells (65'), Gardner-Hickman (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Hull City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City

This should be a competitive encounter with both teams recognising that these are the kind of games that they need to be winning if they want to challenge for promotion. Nevertheless, we are backing a low-scoring draw, one which the visitors would be more accepting of after defeat last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBristol City
39.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 28.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 31.84% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.62% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.105 -0.1)59.44% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)79.81% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)29.07% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)64.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.28% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.1 -0.1)70.98% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 39.96%
    Bristol City 31.83%
    Draw 28.2%
Hull CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.83%

How you voted: Hull City vs Bristol City

Hull City
53.3%
Draw
28.3%
Bristol City
18.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol City
1-0
Hull City
Wells (70' pen.)
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hull City
2-1
Bristol City
Tufan (72' pen.), Michael Seri (90+3')
Weimann (30')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
5-0
Hull City
Weimann (5', 82'), Semenyo (33'), Martin (35', 54')
Scott (23')

Smallwood (88'), Jones (90')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Hull City
2-2
Bristol City
Longman (3'), Honeyman (79')
Smallwood (84')
Semenyo (54'), James (90+2')
Kalas (59'), Massengo (65')
Jul 8, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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