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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Watford logo

Hull City
1 - 0
Watford

Tufan (25' pen.)
Coyle (60'), Ebiowei (79'), Woods (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Louza (72'), Pedro (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 2-1 Watford

Watford can only be low on confidence after Wednesday's capitulation and we feel that could show in their performance. While Hull have struggled for wins themselves, the Tigers will fancy their chances of outworking the Hornets for the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hull City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hull City.

Result
Hull CityDrawWatford
36.55% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 27.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 36.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.44% (-0.107 -0.11)55.55% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)76.73% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.19% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)65.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)29.43% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57% (-0.052 -0.05)65.43% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 36.55%
    Watford 36.14%
    Draw 27.29%
Hull CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Hull City vs Watford

Hull City
68.8%
Draw
25.0%
Watford
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Watford
0-0
Hull City

Woods (19')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Hull City
2-0
Watford
Markovic (62'), Clucas (71')
N'Diaye (42'), Markovic (66'), Robertson (81')
Niasse (25')

Prodl (68')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Watford
1-0
Hull City
Dawson (82' og.)
Behrami (53')

Mason (57'), Clucas (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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