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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
26.56% ( 0.22) | 25.03% ( -0) | 48.41% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.37% ( 0.17) | 49.62% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.35% ( 0.15) | 71.64% ( -0.15) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( 0.27) | 33.1% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( 0.3) | 69.69% ( -0.29) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.47% ( -0.02) | 20.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.97% ( -0.03) | 53.03% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.56% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
4 | Burnley | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Millwall | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
7 | Watford | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Bristol City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
18 | Hull City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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