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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Burnley

Conway (60')
Weimann (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Burnley

Despite being crowned champions in midweek, Burnley remain motivated to reach three figures. However, few teams have gotten the better of Bristol City at their home ground of late, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
26.56% (0.221 0.22) 25.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 48.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.174 0.17)49.62% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.154 0.15)71.64% (-0.151 -0.15)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.27 0.27)33.1% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (0.298 0.3)69.69% (-0.294 -0.29)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)20.53% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 26.56%
    Burnley 48.4%
    Draw 25.02%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.56%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.4%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Burnley
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Scott (32')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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