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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Burnley

Conway (60')
Weimann (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Burnley

Despite being crowned champions in midweek, Burnley remain motivated to reach three figures. However, few teams have gotten the better of Bristol City at their home ground of late, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
26.56% (0.221 0.22) 25.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 48.41% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 53.17% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.174 0.17)49.62% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.154 0.15)71.64% (-0.151 -0.15)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.27 0.27)33.1% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (0.298 0.3)69.69% (-0.294 -0.29)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)20.53% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)53.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 26.56%
    Burnley 48.4%
    Draw 25.02%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.56%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 10.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.4%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Burnley
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Scott (32')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Burnley146621761124
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
6Millwall146441712522
7Watford147162222022
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd144551717017
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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