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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
45.35% ( -0.18) | 26.28% ( 0.1) | 28.37% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.45% ( -0.36) | 53.55% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.94% ( -0.3) | 75.06% ( 0.31) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( -0.24) | 23.54% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( -0.35) | 57.59% ( 0.35) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.25% ( -0.13) | 33.75% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.59% ( -0.14) | 70.41% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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