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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Leeds logo

Ipswich
3 - 4
Leeds

Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Leeds United

It is hard to look past this Ipswich Town side at present, particularly on home turf, given the momentum they hold under Kieran McKenna, and while Leeds do still possess plenty of quality and will travel desperate for a result, we back the Tractor Boys to make it four wins on the bounce on their return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
58.85% (1.485 1.49) 21.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 19.97% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-2.318 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-1.966 -1.97)39.68% (1.962 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-2.074 -2.07)62.03% (2.069 2.07)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)13.2% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)39.93% (0.393 0.39)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-2.515 -2.52)33.44% (2.511 2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-2.852 -2.85)70.07% (2.848 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 58.85%
    Leeds United 19.97%
    Draw 21.18%
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.681 0.68)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.733 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.191 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.391 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Leeds

Ipswich Town
64.7%
Draw
13.7%
Leeds United
21.6%
51
Head to Head
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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