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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
58.85% ( 1.49) | 21.18% ( -0.02) | 19.97% ( -1.47) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -2.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.32% ( -1.97) | 39.68% ( 1.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.97% ( -2.07) | 62.03% ( 2.07) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( -0.2) | 13.2% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% ( -0.4) | 39.93% ( 0.39) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( -2.52) | 33.44% ( 2.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( -2.85) | 70.07% ( 2.85) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.52% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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