Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
We said: Leeds United 2-1 West Bromwich Albion
With both teams failing to convince during the early weeks of the season, this is a difficult match to call. Although West Brom will hold a certain level of confidence from seeing off Swansea, they look vulnerable in defence, leading us to predict a narrow home triumph.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.07% . A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.09%) . The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood .
Result Leeds United Draw West Bromwich Albion 35.46% ( 1.48) 24.47% ( 0.16) 40.07% ( -1.63)
Both teams to score 59.52% ( -0.24)
56.69% ( -0.46) 43.31% ( 0.46)
34.29% ( -0.45) 65.71% ( 0.46)
75.97% ( 0.62) 24.03% ( -0.61)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.71% ( 0.87) 58.29% ( -0.87)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
78.35% ( -0.96) 21.65% ( 0.97)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.22% ( -1.5) 54.78% ( 1.5)
Leeds United 35.46%
West Bromwich Albion 40.07%
Draw 24.47%
Leeds United Draw West Bromwich Albion 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.46% 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.56% Total : 40.07%
How you voted: Leeds vs West Brom
Leeds United
Draw
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion
13.0%
69
rhs 2.0
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