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Leeds logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Shrewsbury Town

Leeds
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Gelhardt (52'), Struijk (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perry (28')
Benning (7'), Winchester (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Leeds United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Cardiff
Sunday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Even with the anticipated squad rotation, Leeds should have too much for their third-tier visitors on Wednesday and will expect to record a first competitive win under Farke. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
51.85% (-0.389 -0.39) 23.42% (0.004999999999999 0) 24.73% (0.378 0.38)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.402 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (0.337 0.34)44.22% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (0.32700000000001 0.33)66.6% (-0.334 -0.33)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)17.08% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (0.495 0.5)31.7% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (0.569 0.57)68.11% (-0.575 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 51.85%
    Shrewsbury Town 24.73%
    Draw 23.42%
Leeds UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 24.73%

How you voted: Leeds vs Shrewsbury

Leeds United
92.9%
Draw
3.6%
Shrewsbury Town
3.6%
28
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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