Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.