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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Leeds

Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United do still have plenty of quality in their squad, but mood in the camp may have taken a big hit, and playing with a weakened side away at a Birmingham City team who are full of optimism with a new-look XI, we do not see the newly-relegated side taking all three points and instead opt for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
28.35% (-0.052 -0.05) 26.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 45.4% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.243 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.3 -0.3)53.44% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.254 -0.25)74.96% (0.25 0.25)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.196 -0.2)33.71% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.214 -0.21)70.37% (0.21199999999999 0.21)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)23.47% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)57.48% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 28.35%
    Leeds United 45.4%
    Draw 26.24%
Birmingham CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.35%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leeds

Birmingham City
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Leeds United
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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