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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Leeds United |
28.35% ( -0.05) | 26.24% ( 0.07) | 45.4% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.56% ( -0.3) | 53.44% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.03% ( -0.25) | 74.96% ( 0.25) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% ( -0.2) | 33.71% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% ( -0.21) | 70.37% ( 0.21) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( -0.14) | 23.47% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% ( -0.2) | 57.48% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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