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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Southampton |
13.28% ( -0.19) | 18.38% ( 0.12) | 68.34% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.62% ( -1.06) | 39.37% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.28% ( -1.12) | 61.71% ( 1.11) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.63% ( -0.97) | 41.37% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.11% ( -0.87) | 77.89% ( 0.86) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.48% ( -0.28) | 10.52% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.79% ( -0.62) | 34.21% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.28% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.38% | 0-2 @ 11.03% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.28% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 7.31% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.39% Total : 68.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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