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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Coventry City

Leeds
1 - 1
Coventry

Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Coventry City

After being kept at bay by Sunderland last time out, we are expecting Leeds to come out firing and hit a couple of goals past Bradley Collins in the Coventry net. The Sky Blues have looked decent on their own patch in the last two matches, but 90 minutes against the Whites and their Elland Road faithful is an entirely different proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
49.39% (-0.715 -0.71) 23.21% (0.275 0.27) 27.39% (0.441 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (-0.945 -0.95)41.01% (0.946 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (-0.97 -0.97)63.4% (0.971 0.97)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)16.79% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.102 -1.1)46.75% (1.103 1.1)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)27.95% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (-0.224 -0.22)63.58% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 49.39%
    Coventry City 27.39%
    Draw 23.21%
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.39%

How you voted: Leeds vs Coventry

Leeds United
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Coventry City
16.7%
36
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Coventry
2-3
Leeds
Turner (64'), Jutkiewicz (52')
Carsley (54')
Gradel (61' pen.), Howson (4'), Snodgrass (40')
Collins (45'), Faye (55'), Brown (72'), Becchio (86')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Coventry
Douglas (53'), Healy (15')
Nicholls (54'), Douglas (68')
Virgo (43')
Page (13'), Whing (27'), Kyle (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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