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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo

Leeds
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Middlesbrough

Many will argue that these are two of the best teams in the Championship and we are not going to argue. It leads us to predict a thrilling encounter, one which may go back and forth before they settle on a share of the spoils, a result that would suit neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
42.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.47% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.87% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)61.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)49.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.78%
    Middlesbrough 33.75%
    Draw 23.46%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-1
Leeds
Wing (47')
Saville (59'), Howson (98')
Phillips (101')
Jansson (103')
Aug 31, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-0
Middlesbrough
Saiz (34'), Douglas (53'), Berardi (73'), Cooper (78')
Besic (55'), Clayton (62'), Ayala (80'), Flint (90')
Mar 2, 2018 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
3-0
Leeds
Bamford (31', 36', 68')
Leadbitter (34')

Saiz (34'), Anita (41'), Cooper (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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