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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Blackpool

Luton
3 - 1
Blackpool

Ruddock (45+2', 76'), Morris (72')
Morris (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lyons (29')
Thorniley (42'), Fiorini (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Blackpool

Luton are expected to record another slender home victory against an injury-ravaged opponent to claim a fourth straight win at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
61.39% (-0.395 -0.39) 22.32% (0.026 0.03) 16.29% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.522 0.52)50.43% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.459 0.46)72.36% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.045999999999992 0.05)15.95% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (0.086999999999996 0.09)45.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (0.8 0.8)43.99% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (0.649 0.65)80.11% (-0.651 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.39%
    Blackpool 16.29%
    Draw 22.31%
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Luton vs Blackpool

Luton Town
92.0%
Draw
6.0%
Blackpool
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Luton
1-1
Blackpool
Adebayo (2')
Madine (55' pen.)
Dougall (19'), Hamilton (68'), Madine (90+1'), Lavery (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-2
Blackpool
Collins (6'), Cummings (86')
Collins (59')
Collins (61')
Kirby (30'), Virtue-Thick (62')
Delfouneso (50'), Turton (54'), Kirby (67'), Long (96')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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