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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Blackpool

Luton
3 - 1
Blackpool

Ruddock (45+2', 76'), Morris (72')
Morris (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lyons (29')
Thorniley (42'), Fiorini (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Cardiff
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Blackpool

Luton are expected to record another slender home victory against an injury-ravaged opponent to claim a fourth straight win at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
61.39% (-0.395 -0.39) 22.32% (0.026 0.03) 16.29% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.07% (0.698 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.522 0.52)50.43% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.459 0.46)72.36% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.045999999999992 0.05)15.95% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (0.086999999999996 0.09)45.23% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01% (0.8 0.8)43.99% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.88% (0.649 0.65)80.11% (-0.651 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 61.39%
    Blackpool 16.29%
    Draw 22.31%
Luton TownDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 16.29%

How you voted: Luton vs Blackpool

Luton Town
92.0%
Draw
6.0%
Blackpool
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 12.30pm
Luton
1-1
Blackpool
Adebayo (2')
Madine (55' pen.)
Dougall (19'), Hamilton (68'), Madine (90+1'), Lavery (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Luton
2-2
Blackpool
Collins (6'), Cummings (86')
Collins (59')
Collins (61')
Kirby (30'), Virtue-Thick (62')
Delfouneso (50'), Turton (54'), Kirby (67'), Long (96')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley126511751223
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
8Bristol City134721717019
9Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
10Middlesbrough135351415-118
11Millwall124441512316
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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