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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 0
Swansea

Morris (39')
Clark (49'), Woodrow (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cundle (28'), Cooper (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Swansea City

 Luton's previous high level has dropped off recently, leaving Edwards desperately in search of more consistency. While we do not expect the Hatters to have things all their own way on Saturday, they should have enough in the tank to edge this encounter by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
43.11% (0.318 0.32) 25.94% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 30.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.11 0.11)51.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.096 0.1)72.91% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.20299999999999 0.2)23.53% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42% (0.295 0.3)57.58% (-0.297 -0.3)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.133 -0.13)30.58% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.156 -0.16)66.81% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.1%
    Swansea City 30.95%
    Draw 25.93%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Swansea City
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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