Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 0Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Watford
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-2 Luton Town
While Luton are in a position where they would likely accept a point from this contest if it was handed to them, that will not be their priority. Millwall are tough to beat at The Den, yet we feel that the Hatters will battle their way to maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
35.78% ( -0.12) | 28.35% ( 0.05) | 35.86% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.45% ( -0.19) | 59.54% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.11% ( -0.15) | 79.89% ( 0.14) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.17) | 31.65% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.2) | 68.06% ( 0.19) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.06) | 31.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.06) | 68.01% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 35.78%
Luton Town 35.86%
Draw 28.35%
| Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.86% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Luton
Millwall
29.9%Draw
14.9%Luton Town
55.2%67
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
