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Championship | Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Swansea

McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Swansea City

Middlesbrough will be lacking confidence given their tough start to the campaign, but, with home advantage against a vulnerable Swansea side, we back Chris Wilder's men to put their first three-point haul on the board at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
52.35% (0.128 0.13) 25.41% (-0.038 -0.04) 22.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.64% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28% (0.076000000000001 0.08)54.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96% (0.063000000000002 0.06)76.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (0.085999999999999 0.09)20.92% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (0.133 0.13)53.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)39.76% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)76.43% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 52.34%
    Swansea City 22.23%
    Draw 25.41%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 13.01%
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.34%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Swansea City
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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