MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 10:36:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Swansea logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Swansea

Conway (24')
Pring (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ntcham (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-3 Swansea City

Bristol City are not shy in front of goal but it is a leaky defence at the other end that has hampered their start to this Championship campaign. Swansea are high on confidence after six wins in the last seven and will be eyeing up a fragile Robins' defence when they visit Ashton Gate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
39.96% (-0.753 -0.75) 25.5% (0.194 0.19) 34.54% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.533 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (-0.747 -0.75)48.17% (0.75 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (-0.687 -0.69)70.33% (0.69 0.69)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.71000000000001 -0.71)23.84% (0.713 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-1.03 -1.03)58.02% (1.032 1.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)26.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.15% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.96%
    Swansea City 34.54%
    Draw 25.49%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.96%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.253 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Swansea City
66.7%
54
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
Aug 20, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')
Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-3
Bristol City
Ayew (55' pen.)
Bidwell (61')
Wells (66'), Palmer (80'), Semenyo (90+7')
Towler (25'), Semenyo (90+10')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Bristol City
1-1
Swansea
Wells (83' pen.)
Wells (89')
Lowe (51')
Smith (32'), Roberts (80'), Fulton (81'), Grimes (83'), Ayew (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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