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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Flemming (5', 49')
Wallace (29'), Burey (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McNair (42'), Jones (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Millwall
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

Despite their recent victory over Birmingham, Middlesbrough are yet to prove themselves on the road this season and with The Den being a tricky place to get a result from, a score draw appears to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
42.71% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 27.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.93% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.93% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)77.84% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)26.37% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)61.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.06% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 42.71%
    Middlesbrough 29.93%
    Draw 27.35%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.71%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.93%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
51.2%
Draw
37.8%
Middlesbrough
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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32-41
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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