Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall2 - 0Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Millwall
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough
Despite their recent victory over Birmingham, Middlesbrough are yet to prove themselves on the road this season and with The Den being a tricky place to get a result from, a score draw appears to be on the cards here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.71% ( -0.04) | 27.35% ( 0.01) | 29.93% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.07% ( -0.04) | 56.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.15% ( -0.03) | 77.84% ( 0.03) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( -0.03) | 26.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.48% ( -0.05) | 61.52% ( 0.05) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( -0) | 34.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.94% ( -0) | 71.06% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 42.71%
Middlesbrough 29.93%
Draw 27.35%
| Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.71% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.93% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough
Millwall
51.2%Draw
37.8%Middlesbrough
11.0%82
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Jul 8, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
