Championship

Championship | Gameweek 14

Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Flemming (5', 49')
Wallace (29'), Burey (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McNair (42'), Jones (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Millwall
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

Despite their recent victory over Birmingham, Middlesbrough are yet to prove themselves on the road this season and with The Den being a tricky place to get a result from, a score draw appears to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
42.71% ( -0.04)	27.35% ( 0.01)	29.93% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.33% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.07% (

-0.04)

56.93% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.15% (

-0.03)

77.84% (

0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

-0.03)

26.37% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48% (

-0.05)

61.52% (

0.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

-0)

34.35% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0)

71.06% (

Score Analysis

Millwall 42.71%

Middlesbrough 29.93%

Draw 27.35%

Millwall	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.71%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.93%