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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2024 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Sunderland

Forss (61')
Engel (34'), Greenwood (75'), Ayling (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rusyn (83')
Hume (14'), Ba (34'), Ekwah (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

With these two teams among the most inconsistent in the Championship, this is a difficult match to predict. Sunderland will fancy their chances of building on the win over Stoke, yet we think that Boro will have enough quality in their ranks to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
32.94% (0.13500000000001 0.14) 24.77% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.547 0.55)45.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.522 0.52)67.62% (-0.523 -0.52)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.34999999999999 0.35)26.42% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.462 0.46)61.59% (-0.464 -0.46)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.21900000000001 0.22)21.45% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.33799999999999 0.34)54.46% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.95%
    Sunderland 42.28%
    Draw 24.77%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
0-4
Middlesbrough

Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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