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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

The high of beating Chelsea could have varying effects on Boro, something that Carrick will be aware of. Millwall are a team in form right now and that may lead to the two teams playing out a competitive draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
26.25% (0.168 0.17) 24.5% (-0.055 -0.05) 49.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.33 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.365 0.37)47.66% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (0.337 0.34)69.85% (-0.337 -0.34)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.33 0.33)32.3% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.37 0.37)68.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09)19.4% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.157 0.16)51.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 26.25%
    Middlesbrough 49.24%
    Draw 24.5%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-2 @ 8.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 49.24%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
52.2%
Draw
13.0%
Middlesbrough
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
1-1
Millwall
Crooks (15')
Howson (57')
Bamba (27' og.)
Bennett (34'), Cooper (45+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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