Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
The Den
Millwall1 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
We said: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough
The high of beating Chelsea could have varying effects on Boro, something that Carrick will be aware of. Millwall are a team in form right now and that may lead to the two teams playing out a competitive draw at The Den. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
26.25% ( 0.17) | 24.5% ( -0.05) | 49.24% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( 0.37) | 47.66% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( 0.34) | 69.85% ( -0.34) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.33) | 32.3% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.2% ( 0.37) | 68.8% ( -0.37) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.09) | 19.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.79% ( 0.16) | 51.21% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 26.25%
Middlesbrough 49.24%
Draw 24.5%
| Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.24% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough
Millwall
52.2%Draw
13.0%Middlesbrough
34.8%23
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
