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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
3 - 4
Blackburn

Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Cooper (64')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Millwall
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Luton
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Both teams have been far from impressive of late and that leads us to expect a tense affair to play out at The Den. With the shackles needing to come off with Blackburn, that could benefit them, and we would not be surprised to see Rovers snatch victory in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.014999999999993 0.01)60.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)36.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.51% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.24%
    Blackburn Rovers 27.47%
    Draw 27.28%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
50.0%
Draw
13.2%
Blackburn Rovers
36.8%
38
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall

Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Elliott (25'), Armstrong (90+1')
Malone (34')
Williams (19'), Wallace (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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