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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Preston North End logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Preston

Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')
Cooper (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Whiteman (51'), Onomah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Reading
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Preston North End

With these two teams in contrasting form, many will back Preston to edge the contest in East London. Nevertheless, Millwall's recent two defeats have only come by narrow margins, and we feel that the Lions will do enough to earn a draw in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPreston North End
46.6% (-0.448 -0.45) 28.03% (0.165 0.16) 25.36% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.54% (-0.369 -0.37)61.46% (0.36799999999999 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.66% (-0.277 -0.28)81.34% (0.277 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (-0.393 -0.39)26.47% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.524 -0.52)61.65% (0.523 0.52)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)40.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)77.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.59%
    Preston North End 25.36%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 14.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.74% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 25.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Preston

Millwall
47.8%
Draw
17.4%
Preston North End
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Preston
2-4
Millwall
Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Lindsay (14')
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-1
Preston
Malone (39'), Bennett (86')
Evans (90+4')
Evans (12')
Molumby (58')
Oct 28, 2020 7pm
Preston
0-2
Millwall

Johnson (71'), Browne (90+1')
Zohore (54'), Wallace (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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