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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
1 - 2
Blackburn

Harding (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Saturday's 1-0 win was somewhat of a rarity for Blackburn Rovers, who have seen plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch in most of their Championship outings so far this season, and we anticipate another relatively eventful affair on Tuesday with the visitors' back-to-back wins perhaps inspiring a narrow triumph at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
30.55% (1.619 1.62) 24.45% (-0.09 -0.09) 45% (-1.532 -1.53)
Both teams to score 57.85% (1.286 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (1.25 1.25)44.75% (-1.251 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (1.194 1.19)67.11% (-1.195 -1.19)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (1.738 1.74)27.68% (-1.739 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (2.178 2.18)63.23% (-2.18 -2.18)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)20.01% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.238 -0.24)52.2% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.55%
    Blackburn Rovers 45%
    Draw 24.44%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.282 0.28)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.533 -0.53)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
35.3%
Draw
35.3%
Blackburn Rovers
29.4%
34
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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