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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
1 - 2
Blackburn

Harding (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Saturday's 1-0 win was somewhat of a rarity for Blackburn Rovers, who have seen plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch in most of their Championship outings so far this season, and we anticipate another relatively eventful affair on Tuesday with the visitors' back-to-back wins perhaps inspiring a narrow triumph at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
30.55% (1.619 1.62) 24.45% (-0.09 -0.09) 45% (-1.532 -1.53)
Both teams to score 57.85% (1.286 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (1.25 1.25)44.75% (-1.251 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (1.194 1.19)67.11% (-1.195 -1.19)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (1.738 1.74)27.68% (-1.739 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (2.178 2.18)63.23% (-2.18 -2.18)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)20.01% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.238 -0.24)52.2% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.55%
    Blackburn Rovers 45%
    Draw 24.44%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.282 0.28)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.533 -0.53)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
35.3%
Draw
35.3%
Blackburn Rovers
29.4%
34
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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