MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 23:46:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
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Millwall
0 - 1
Southampton


Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Southampton

 While Millwall are capable of upsetting the odds against any second-tier opponent at home, Southampton are clear favourites for this contest. As well as dominating the ball, we expect the visitors to win with relative ease to keep the pressure on the teams in the playoff spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSouthampton
37.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 36.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.31% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.012 -0.01)25.72% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)60.65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 37.84%
    Southampton 36.58%
    Draw 25.57%
MillwallDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.84%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.58%

How you voted: Millwall vs Southampton

Millwall
7.1%
Draw
21.4%
Southampton
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
> Match Report
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Millwall
Henderson (57'), Henry (66'), Robinson (77')
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
Aug 8, 2009 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Millwall
Paterson (51')
Abdou (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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