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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
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Millwall
0 - 1
Southampton


Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Southampton

 While Millwall are capable of upsetting the odds against any second-tier opponent at home, Southampton are clear favourites for this contest. As well as dominating the ball, we expect the visitors to win with relative ease to keep the pressure on the teams in the playoff spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSouthampton
37.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 36.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.31% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.012 -0.01)25.72% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)60.65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 37.84%
    Southampton 36.58%
    Draw 25.57%
MillwallDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.84%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.58%

How you voted: Millwall vs Southampton

Millwall
7.1%
Draw
21.4%
Southampton
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
> Match Report
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Millwall
Henderson (57'), Henry (66'), Robinson (77')
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
Aug 8, 2009 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Millwall
Paterson (51')
Abdou (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


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